No one knew that Greg Oden would play only 82 games in 5 years for the Portland Trailblazers after being drafted #1 overall 2007. No one knew that Jamarcus Russell would be a lost cause so quickly for the Oakland Raiders either. By the same token, no one knew Tom Brady was destined for the Hall of Fame or that a raw talent who barely even played football named Jason Pierre-Paul would become a force for the New York Giants. In sports, the guessing game is played out often. It makes one GM the hero, another one unemployed. And there’s really no science to it. Could Kevin Durant have been the injury prone one? Sure. But that’s not the case and he’s become the NBA’s smoothest scorer on a true title-contender. I feel bad for Greg Oden and the Trailblazers in general. It’s kind of the Sam Bowie mess all over again for them. I don’t believe that the personnel men for the Sonics and the Blazers in ’07 were all that different in terms of level of intelligence. But with Oden’s career likely now over, it sure seems that way today.